High Pitch Count with Offensive Variance Against Weak On-Base Teams is a verified MLB spread betting system that targets games where pitchers throw a high volume of pitches recently, batting variance in run creation is elevated, and the opposing offense has struggled getting on base. Tracked across 7,251 graded picks, it holds a 1296-1181 record with a 52.32% hit rate and -0.11% ROI. All results graded from verified game outcomes.
MLB·spread
High Pitch Count with Offensive Variance Against Weak On-Base Teams
How This System Works
The system identifies games where the team's on-base percentage averaged over their last 10 games is 0.3024 or lower, their pitchers have thrown more than 136.1 pitches on average over the last 5 games, and their runs created statistic shows a standard deviation above 2.6838 over the last 10 games. These conditions together describe a team with low recent on-base percentage, higher recent pitcher workload, and high variability in their run production.
Targets games where pitchers throw a high volume of pitches recently, batting variance in run creation is elevated, and the opposing offense has struggled getting on base.
| Record | - |
| Hit Rate | 0.5232% |
| ROI | -0.11%% |
| Avg CLV | -0.0139 units |
| Sample Size | 7251 picks |